1-2-2016 Newshound Guru Kaperoni No matter how you look at it, Iraq cannot make it another year without currency reform. The numbers make it impossible. So as we said in Oct, the remaining 3 months would be important, the next few months of 2016 are just as important, if not more so. Iraq has worked (or lack there of) themselves in a corner and they either launch the market economy, currency reform and create businesses and jobs or fail and go broke. …the government is shut down, and nothing will be posted until Sunday when it opens back up. I do expect something since the CBI came out and said so in there statement which clearly said..."Decides to re-evaluate these investment shares at the beginning of 2016.." What that means or how it effects us, we will have to wait and see. But something will happen. As for the how many times have we heard this before? That is not necessary true, yes we have said so, but never like this. …I cannot recall ever stating the CBI is going broke, or the reserves are diminishing. These are not opinions, but fact. And many of the worlds experts have also concurred. So until Iraq gets this market economy moving, and initiates currency reform (which IMO includes Article VIII) they will continues to be in this predicament. The only solution to the problem is to bring the world's money to Iraq.
1-2-2016 Newshound Guru wmawhite [ I have high hopes this time around. Hope Iraq can follow through.] I am trying not to be too over the top hopeful...but, I am hopeful too...something in the next few weeks/months.
1-2-2016 Intel/Newshound Guru Poppy3 WE ALL KNOW THE STATUS AND WHAT CBI , WB, UN, IMF HAVE ALL TOLD US IS HAPPENING SO REALLY ALL WE NEED TO DO NOW IS WAIT PATIENTLY AND LET THEM DO WHAT THEY SAID TO THE WORLD THEY WHERE GOING TO DO THIS MONTH.
1-2-2016 Newshound Guru rcookie …THE IMPORTANCE OF UNITED NATIONS OVERSEEING THE TRANSFER OF POWERS TO THE PROVINCES AWAY FROM CENTRAL....AND THE IMF MONITORING AND OVERSEEING EVERY SINGLE 2016 BUDGET ALLOCATION AND DISBURSEMENT TO THOSE PROVINCES IN 2016 BUDGET...TO ASSURE THAT THE MONEY ACTUALLY IS UTILIZED FOR WHAT IS IS APPROPRIATED FOR AND BENEFIT THE CITIZENS...INSTEAD OF STOLEN BY CROOKED POLITICIANS AND MINISTRIES....IT IS A WHOLE NEW LANDSCAPE! NEVER HAPPENED BEFORE...NEVER. THE PLAYERS...RULES...AND MOST IMPORTANTLY THE REFEREES HAVE CHANGED....
1-2-2016 Newshound Guru Enorrste This is a short term move, in my view, done specifically to draw out the dinars so that they can be destroyed. Once the dinars start to come out of the mattresses the CBI will destroy them, thus reducing the money supply. Some will be exchanged for the new 50k notes, but the vast majority will be destroyed. With the destruction of money there will be upward pressure on the value of the dinar itself and this short term "issue" will have served its purpose (getting the money out of the mattresses). This is why Saleh has called it an "adjustment" instead of a "devaluation." Bottom line: everything is still on tract as planned by the IMF/CBI. Therefore, this is not the change in monetary strategy. It is only an adjustment. The change in monetary strategy will come when the CBI announces a move from a fixed rate dinar to a floating dinar. I won't be surprised if we see this within the next 60 days. [post 2 of 2]
1-2-2016 Newshound Guru Enorrste Article: “Iraq begins in 2016 to cut its currency against the dollar” There are a few things that we must remember… The first is that the official policy of the CBI and the IMF is to move to a floating dinar. Second is the fact that both the CBI and the IMF expect the value of the dinar to rise, not fall, when it moves to a float. The third fact is that Saleh stated unequivocally that the recent change in the exchange rate from 1166 to 1182 (or 1190) is NOT a devaluation of the dinar but IS an ADJUSTMENT in preparation for something else. The fourth is the fact that there is a liquidity crisis in Iraq caused by the hoarding of up to 70% of all of the dinars in mattresses. Now, finally, this fifth element is coming into play. This adjustment will, as KAP [GURU KAPERONI] has stated rightly, in my opinion, cause the locals to unload their paper dinars, most likely for dollars. [post 1 of 2....stay tuned]
1-2-2016 Intel/Newshound Guru Backdoc I HAVE BEEN TELLING YOU TO WATCH IRAN AND THEN YOU WILL KNOW WHEN IRAQ WILL LAUNCH. THAT LOOKS TO BE TRUE AS WE SAW TODAY THAT IRAQ LAUNCHED THEIR ELECTRONIC PAY CARD, WHICH WILL WORK IN ALL COUNTRIES. THAT SMELLS LIKE AN INTERNATIONAL RATE!
12-31-2015 Intel/Newshound Guru Poppy3 ...IT DOESNT GET BETTER... THEY CANT SAY IT ANY CLEARER. WHAT I HAVE DISCLOSED IS ALL IN INK AND STATED TO THE WORLD THAT IS LISTENING. HERE WE ARE AND THIS IS WHAT WE ARE DOING NOW. THE ONLY OFFICIAL RATE EVER MENTIONED WAS GIVEN IN OCT 2010 AND NO ONE HAS EVERY SAID A WORD DIFFERENCE. I HAVE POSTED IT AT LEAST 1000 TIMES. [reference Poppy3's previous posts 12-28-2015 & 12-29-2015]
12-31-2015 Newshound Guru Kaperoni From CBI: "Decides to re-evaluate these investment shares at the beginning of 2016 in the light of the prices traded by Iraq Stock Exchange," Iraq is running out of time. With oil at $35 and expected to maybe drop to even lower, those reserves will be gone in no time. They need currency reform now and they need to get this market economy going without delay. That being said, I am hopeful this notice is the beginning of that reform. I am optimistic.
12-31-2015 Newshound/Intel Guru Arthur In a nutshell it appears that every single element we could possibly hope to see has and is happening in real time. The Hydrocarbon Law governing funds distribution along with the requisite taxes and tariffs are imminent within the next 48 hours. We are witnessing the perfect storm that we have always dreamed of for a reality rate for our investment literally any day now. The security picture couldn't be better as what you are getting is at least 8 days behind reality so consider it done. In the words of the late Michael Jackson: THIS IS IT!
12-31-2015 Intel/Newshound Guru Poppy3 [From what I found out is ...the (CBI) closing of 3 days ... happens every year ... per say ... is caused by ANNUAL INVENTORY ... PER DOLLARS AND IARQI DINAR ...] STRANGE NEVER CLOSED BEFORE FOR 3 DAYS ON NEW YEARS...REMEMBER I BEEN HERE 12 YEARS. NEVER HAVE THEY ANNOUNCED A CLOSING BEFORE.
12-31-2015 Intel/Newshound Guru tman23 The Finance Minister uses the USD petro dollar to buy IQD from the CBI to pay for salaries etc. There is a BIG domino effect that goes along with revalue or either devalue. Over the years we have debated, argued, and highly contested the opinions of others on how the monetary change will be introduced. The only thing we know for a fact is the "project to lift the 3 zeros" was given the green light this past spring AND the time for the optimum time for the 3 zeros to be lifted is at the start of the New Year. Interesting week INDEED! Will you be seeing 67 cents... or $1... OR $3 plus...OR a ZONK!
12-31-2015 Intel Guru TD If these moves prove results then the IMF will help Iraq orchestrate the long awaited "deletion of the zeros" ( or) LOP. The IMF has made it clear during these talks that the LOP and dramatically reducing the money supply is the ONLY way forward for them to have a real and stable monetary program. Again as my amigo stated before it is still on the table that Only notes inside Iraq will then be allowed to exchange for the newer notes. This process is still scheduled for the second half of 2016 to start BUT progress on ISIS and IMF imposed conditions are prerequisites. [post 2 of 2]
12-31-2015 Intel Guru TD Important comments from my Kurdish friend ( you can treat all as rumor and please due your own sound diligence ). 2016 is a make it or break it year for Abadi's survival. In particular the 1st half and progress in the war against ISIS is job número uno. Monetary reserves have evaporated and the IMF is now at the helm of monetary policies to be executed in exchange of the bailout Iraq is receiving from them. Parliament and CBI have agreed to implement whatever reforms the IMF requests. Inside word is that the IMF too has at its highest priority the transformation measures of Iraq into a diversified market driven economy and so the next few months will be very telling of investment policies and mechanisms that will be established. [post 1 of 2....stay tuned]
12-31-2015 Newshound Guru Kaperoni Article quote: "Decides to re-evaluate these investment shares at the beginning of 2016 in the light of the prices traded by Iraq Stock Exchange," I talked to a broker a few minutes ago, he stated it sounds like efforts are being made to reprice shares to provide some source of security or stability to the investment community. He said the question is are they pricing in dollar or dinar? If it is dinar, which is what we expect, we may see some change to the dinar then.
12-31-2015 Newshound Guru rcookie SOME MORE POSITIVE INDICATORS TO THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT...IRAQI REPORTS THIS MORNING OF 425 SHIPS/TANKERS IN 2 MONTHS FROM A PLETHORA OF COUNTRIES... KUWAIT... UAE...DENMARK...LIBERIA...INDIA... MANILA...SINGAPORE... VIET NAM...WITH ADDITIONAL REPORTS OF PORT ACTIVITY VOLUME TO INCREASE DRAMATICALLY AT START OF NEW YEAR...WITH ALL THE NEWS AND REPORTS OF CUSTOM TARIFFS IMPLEMENTATION TO ALL PROVINCES AND MEETINGS ONGOING BETWEEN ERBIL AND BAGHDAD...AGREEMENTS WITH BORDER NATIONS FOR TARIFF IMPLEMENTATION...THE "IN INK" INCLUSION OF TARIFFS AS 2016 BUDGET REVENUE STREAM...THE ADOPTION OF MARITIME AND ENVIRONMENTAL LAWS... ME THINKS ALL THE I'S BEING DOTTED...T'S CROSSED...IF YOU LISTEN REALLY CAREFULLY...YOU CAN HEAR THE NEW IRAQI ECONOMIC ENGINE STARTING. WE ALL HAVE FRONT ROW SEATS FOR THE HISTORY THAT IS UNFOLDING!!
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru sczin11 Article: "Trading on the shares of the company's financial Sama Baghdad convertible launch as of Sunday session 01.03.2016" THIS MAY BE THE BIGGEST NEWS WE HAVE SEEN TO DATE...IF TRUE, AND MORE IMPORTANT, IF I UNDERSTAND WHAT THIS IS SAYING...ONE CAN ONLY ASK, WHY? ALMOST 1 YEAR AGO, WE SAW THE APPROVAL OF ABOUT 8 MONEY TRANSFER COMPANIES, TO BE LISTED ON THE IRAQI STOCK EXCHANGE...WELL, THIS APPEARS TO BE ANNOUNCING THE START OF TRADING FOR ONE OF THESE COMPANIES, ON SUNDAY...JANUARY 3, 2016.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Millionday Article quote: "FinanceMinister Hoshyar Zebari, on Monday, that Iraq has revived a plan to sell bonds two billion dollars in the budget of 2016" BONDS ARE GOING ON THE MARKET THIS COMING YEAR --- THEY ARE HUGE IN THE PROGRESS OF IRAQ AND SUPPORTIVE OF A HIGHER VALUE FOR THE COUNTRY ACCORDING TO THE REPORTS.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru wmawhite [...they are trying to stop the use of usd in iraq?] This has been the effort/the plan from the beginning and all of these laws and all of the IMF/WB efforts has been toward a "Market Economy" wherein the sole currency that Iraq conducts business with. [do u think the tarriffs and taxes will happen this time?] Well...some people in Parliament think so and the 2016 budget will not work without those revenues. [when you see the tariffs and taxes you will see a rate change too.] Possible...it does make sense...makes sense that change must come soon...
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Kaperoni Article: "Parliamentary Finance reveal activation of customs tariffs starting from next Friday" Keep in mind next Friday means this Friday which is Jan 1st. The same time the CBI said they were going to "re-evaluate investment shares at the beginning of 2016"
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru rcookie [we see tariffs and taxes we will see the RV.] THE EVIDENCE IS CLEAR OF THE GOODS READY FOR INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMY WITH TARIFFS IMPLEMENTED...PRODUCT QUALITY INSPECTION MECHANISMS IN PLACE...SO RETAIL PRICING ADJUSTMENTS INCORPORATED AND PASSED ON TO CONSUMERS...SO INCREASE IN PURCHASING POWER MUST PRECEDE...AND THE FACT THAT THE BUDGET RELIES HEAVILY ON TARIFF REVENUES...WITH THE IMF DRIVING THE BUS... I THINK IT IS TIME.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Kaperoni CBI Announcement quote: "Decides to re-evaluate these investment shares at the beginning of 2016 in the light of the prices traded by Iraq Stock Exchange," This does sound good.
12-30-2015 Intel Guru EXOGEN ...Iraq will become the new global "OIL KID ON THE BLOCK" soon. Iraq is now approaching Stability for complete Monetary Reform Implementation. The Release & Distribution Lower Denoms in Iraq will be the global indicator of the rate adjustment of the currency.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Millionday "...asia cell mobile phone service, announced the launch of electronic payment (Asia Service Money project), in the whole of Iraq and the Kurdistan Region..." ELECTRONIC PAYMENT IS SET UP ALL OVER THE COUNTRY OF IRAQ AS OF TODAY THROUGH ASIA CELL. THEY MAY PAY THE BILLS THROUGH ASIA CELL AND HAVE BEEN GIVEN INSTRUCTIONS -- THIS IS THROUGH ELECTRONIC CREDIT CARDS -- WHOOOPOW. THAT WOULD LEAD ME TO BELIEVE THAT THEY WILL BE INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNIZED THROUGH ECONOMIC LOGIC BUT HAVE TO WAIT TO INK.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru firefly [...this is all planned!! everything!!] Of course it's a plan, I proved it to you guys many times. [well hope the plan has a very soon ending.] I'm not hearing of ANY stumbling blocks .... nada. Like I've said, EVERY PLAN HAS AN END! [and we are at the end!] IMO YES!! Remember also, the CBI has told us recently the project to delete zeros is still planned for 2015. Why is this important? Because every time they delayed this project they told us 3 months in advance. NOT THIS TIME!
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Kaperoni The federal budget of the Republic of Iraq for fiscal year 2016: "Article 53: This Code shall be published in the Official Gazette and put into effect as of January 1st 2016. Reasons: This Code has been legislated to approve The Federal Budget of the Republic of Iraq for the Fiscal Year 2016."
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru Millionday ANNOUNCEMENT FROM CBI: "To / all licensed banks and money transfer companies approved all and the financial investment companies approved all and brokering the sale and purchase of foreign currencies approved all companies (foreign exchange rate) 12/28/2015" IMO IT MEANS THAT THE REGULATIONS HAVE BEEN ACTIVATED AND ONLY MONEY EXCHANGERS AND BANKS CAN EXCHANGE CURRENCY -- THE NOTICE IS TO ALL THAT HAVE BEEN LICENSED. THE MARKET IS CLOSED RIGHT NOW THERE AND IT OBVIOUSLY IS VERY EXCITING TO SEE THIS FROM CBI.
12-30-2015 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG Did you guys catch the Iraqi Ambassador to the US on Fox tonite [Tuesday]...It looks like the world is ready to welcome them into the world community.
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru mike It won't work anymore, they can't generate enough money from oil to control everything, those days are gone. Until Iraq can release the constraints on foreign investment, create an open market economy and allow the currency to be internationally accepted, we're going to continue to watch the slow death of Iraq's economy and it's ability to pay the salaries of it's people. Even if reforms, laws and legislation magically happens tomorrow, it's going to take a considerable amount of time for it to take effect and move the country forward. In the mean time, these guys are spending the reserves like a sailor on shore leave. It's like watching a car wreck in slow motion, these guys just don't get it. IMO [post 2 of 2]
12-30-2015 Newshound Guru mike Article: "Iraqi state is facing the threat of bankruptcy next year" For what it's worth, I just don't know how much effect the IMF's going to have on the situation in Iraq. Can the IMF pass the needed laws to create an open market economy? Can they charge, prosecute and imprison the elite who are responsible for scamming the auctions? Can they craft the legislation and get it through Parliament relating to the long overdue banking reforms? Iraq has known for over a year now that oil wasn't going to be enough to make payroll, fund the infrastructure projects and fight the war against ISIL and what have they done? Not much. There's been a few laws passed but in the end, Iraq is still holding tight to the old, centralized, government controlled systems they've had for years. [post 1 of 2....stay tuned]
12-29-2015 Intel Guru Frank26 I know the IMF gave them until the first quarter to get things done...but they are short on many things...What they are doing with their budget, the reforms, their SECURITY it is all for one thing...to enter the international world with an international rate 1 to 1...but if they take us into February and March...it will only get louder and louder...all those things they dreamed of..taxes and tariffs...yes... SECURITY... yes...unbelievable... because the year is coming to an end...I just can’t see them wasting this...can’t see them prolonging things...all of this IMO ...IMO...China and others would not have hooked up right now if they were not ready to enter the international world.
12-29-2015 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG [Are the Tariffs still set to start soon? Like Jan 1?] not sure - but if you see legit tariffs start and hold - you will see a rate...
12-29-2015 Newshound Guru Enorrste Article: "Forthcoming meeting between Baghdad and Erbil for the application of the customs tariff law in all outlets" If they apply the tariffs then the cost of goods will go up inside Iraq since Iraq imports the vast majority of its products. The tariffs will help the GOI in terms of getting them more money, but at the cost of higher prices for the people. Unless they also raise the value of the dinar in sync with the introduction of tariffs this will lead to inflation in Iraq. Therefore one of two things will happen: they will either postpone the tariffs or they will institute the float with the introduction of tariffs. Time will tell.
12-29-2015 Intel Guru Frank26 It’s not a coincidence...that we look at a long weekend...no coincidence... meanwhile the ISX went ballistic today...they sold 619 million shares that is worth almost 500 billion IQD’s...all in one afternoon...that is why we sense we are very close to the international world...there is SECURITY to enter an international world...we do know they has stopped selling the USD...they only use their currency...you did notice there is a long weekend over the end of the year into the next year. You do know the Iranian sanctions will be lifted in this same time frame...You do know the budget is to be implemented in this time frame. You do know the taxes and tariffs are ready to be applied in all ports of Baghdad... Erbil...all of them...that is powerful...that is serious for a monetary reform.
12-29-2015 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG [what would happen if they did nothing with the currency and just kept using the usd? they have been using it for many years and are still surviving u think that is at all possible what would happen to Iraq?] long run - NO CAN DO - IMF is in charge. They can't have a "dual currency country" as a major exporter of oil.
12-29-2015 Intel/Newshound Guru Poppy3 ...IT WAS BECAUSE OF A INVESTMENT ADVISER COMPANY AND THEIR STAFF THAT I WAS INTRODUCED TO INVESTMENT IN DINAR. THEN I STUDIED IT FOR 9 MONTHS 12 YRS AGO BEFORE I PUT A DIME OF MY FAMILIES MONEY IN IT AND I HAVE NEVER STOPPED BELIEVING IN IT THAT MY RESEARCH AND THEIRS WAS CORRECT. IF IT WAS A GREAT INVESTMENT THEN IT IS 100 TIME GREATER TODAY. ...STUDY THE CURRENCY OF EVERY COUNTRY THAT HAS EVER BEEN LIBERATED BY WAR...END OF DISCUSSION.
12-29-2015 Newshound Guru mike Article "Iraq Stock Exchange traded more than 600 billion shares worth about 500 billion dinars" What stands out to me is how small the ISX really is, total months trading equaled just $495 million and it's total worth is only $7.5 billion dollars. I realize it's not a fair comparison, but the NYSE is worth over $19 trillion and average daily trading in 2013 was $169 billion. Iraq desperately needs foreign capital to get these guys off the ground.
12-29-2015 Intel/Newshound Guru Mnt Goat ...after all is said and done - it is still, in my opinion, the ONLY solution really to this dilemma is to REINSTATE the Iraqi dinar first to just over the value of the US dollar 1: 1 creating the incentive to exchange dollars for dinars. Pop out the lower denominations quickly (as planned in 2012-2013) thus starting the de-dollarization process. I believe it could move very quickly from that point. Then later, once inflation is under control, they would have to fully RV to pre-war values plus equity, rolling the currency back out to the global exchanges and placing it on a floating currency regime (as Iraq fully intends to do since they told us so in...articles...). [post 3 of 3]
12-29-2015 Intel Guru Hub the dinar was instituted in 1932 and was valued at 4.75 plus, in '49 devalued to 2.50 or so...in '71 till '93 was about 3.30...hussein had it 3.22, UN stepped in and it went 3000 dinar to 1 usd. ...why would a country have one of the most valued currencies in the world and are now only ahead of VN ZIM, and a few others in that caliber. we know the answer, just do it...i just know eco 101 says it has to happen to stay in the forefront of the world economy.
12-29-2015 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG [With all that has been done to date, laws, corruption security, loans promised, Can this go on at 1166 past Jan 1st when 2016 budget is supposed to be opened?] Simple answer - yes... complicated answer... how much past that date...? probably not long... [...could you give us 2 or 3 reasons why many are suggesting by Jan1 or soon after?] really - ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN at this point... meaning anything at anytime...